Sunday, January 24, 2016

What You Should Do When An NFL Expert Picks Against The Spread

By Jason Gibson


Football season makes it possible for friends to reconnect and follow their favorite sport. Some sports love to gamble during this time of the year. If you are one of these individuals, then you'll need to know which actions to take if a trusted NFL expert picks against the spread.

The first and foremost action that you should take is to find out exactly what is going on. Try to determine this person's motives and look for clues as to why such a decision has been made. It may be your first instinct to think that this person has some incredible insider information. In reality, however, information to justify this pick could be right under your nose.

Check out a few sports blogs to see if any looming or unreported injuries exist among the players. If a player in a key position has a sore knee or shoulder, this might hinder the overall chances of the team. There are even times when injuries are not covered by mass media unless the player is planning to take time off and thus, you definitely have to do your research.

Surprisingly enough, even activities and events that players have going on in their personal lives can impact their games. Find out if any players are facing legal charges or separating from their spouses. The winning team will usually be comprised of players that have few outside distractions.

Read the statistics for similar match-ups that have occurred before and see if any of the relevant factors have changed. The preferred team might be playing their first championship game in a far away location for the fist time in a long time. Harsh weather conditions could exist. Seemingly minor changes like these can have a tremendous impact on the outcome of a game.

Write down a list of the sources that you trust the most in instances such as these. You have to learn more about what others are saying before you can decide how you will act on this new information. Outside sources are only helpful, however, when they are known for providing reliable info.

You have to keep in mind the fact that investing and gambling have a number of startling similarities, especially in terms of finding reliable sources who can supply you with accurate information. Sports broadcasters and blog writers may simply stick with the crowd and say what everyone else is already saying, even though the reported information is not something that they agree with or trust for themselves. This is known as going with the herd. The top sources of information will always be courageous enough to branch out on their own and break away from the fold in order to promote less popular ideas that they believe to be the truth.

You also have to keep in mind that even an expert can be wrong from time to time. This is a notion that even a small amount of research will prove true. Some people are spot on their assessments from time to time, but no one is absolutely right all of the time. You simply have to learn to leverage all of the information that is available to you, in order to make informed game predictions and betting decisions of your own.




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